Data Blast

Data, Telecom, Maths, Astronomy, Origami, and so on


Leave a comment

Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics – and Visualisation

By chance days ago, I met again with the famous Anscombe’s Quartet, which in case anyone doesn’t know or remember, corresponds to four datasets that seem to be identical when they are examined using simple summary statistics, but our perception changes considerably when they are analyzed visually, i.e. through “graphs”.

Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 4
x1 y1 x2 y2 x3 y3 x4 y4
10 8.04 10 9.14 10 7.46 8 6.58
8 6.95 8 8.14 8 6.77 8 5.76
13 7.58 13 8.74 13 12.74 8 7.71
9 8.81 9 8.77 9 7.11 8 8.84
11 8.33 11 9.26 11 7.81 8 8.47
14 9.96 14 8.10 14 8.84 8 7.04
6 7.24 6 6.13 6 6.08 8 5.25
4 4.26 4 3.10 4 5.39 19 12.50
12 10.84 12 9.13 12 8.15 8 5.56
7 4.82 7 7.26 7 6.42 8 7.91
5 5.68 5 4.74 5 5.73 8 6.89

p_stat2

x1 y1 x2 y2 x3 y3 x4 y4
Average 9 7.5 9 7.5 9 7.5 9 7.5
Variance 11 4.12 11 4.12 11 4.12 11 4.12
Correlation 0.816 0.816 0.816 0.816
Linear Regression y1=0.5 x1 + 3 y2=0.5 x2 + 3 y3=0.5 x3 + 3 y4=0.5 x4 + 3

Doing some history, in 1973 the statistician Francis Anscombe in his paper “Graph in Statistical Analysis” presented this construction in order to show the essential role that a graph has in a good statistical analysis, for example, to show the effect of outliers over statistical measurements. It’s revealing, however, to observe how he described the situation of the statistics at that time: “Few of us escape being indoctrinated with these notions: 1) Numerical calculations are exact, but graphs are rough, 2) For any particular kind of statistical data there is just one of set of calculations constituting a current statistical analysis, and 3) Performing intricate calculations is virtuous, whereas actually looking at the data is cheating”. Nowadays however it seems to be a “graph” paints a thousand “numerical calculations”; anyway, a simple moral of all this could be that seeing the four graphs, it isn’t possible to describe reality with only an unique statistical metric and so the use of graphs is key to present information more accurately and completely. In a certain sense, summary statistics don’t tell the whole story.

On the other hand and with some relation to the latter, a great quote attributed to former British Prime Minister Benjamin Disraeli, now it comes to my mind: “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics”. Actually it’s a great joke, still valid, specially when we think about the politicians which sometimes use statistical values (biased or nonsense) as “throwing weapon” to support their weak arguments. Unfortunately it isn’t an exclusive area to politics because also the press sometimes falls into excesses when use statistical values incorrectly to describe a fact. As Mark Twain said: “Facts are stubborn, but statistics are more pliable”. The truth is that today (and always, actually) there are many interests involved and the line of the ethics and independence is sometimes too fuzzy for some eyes. This reminds me of the book “A Mathematician reads the Newspaper” by John Allen Paulos where the author tries explaining the misuse of maths and statistics in the press. I don’t know if the author has had success in his crusade to evangelize to readers of newspapers, but it’s clear that people with notions about maths or statistics will perceive more critically a determine news and so will demand more accuracy to the journalists.

At this point and although I’m straying slightly from the topic, I recommend reading the editorial of The Guardian (29th January 2015) and subsequent comments on the use of statistics in political debate. The editorial highlights that “Big data doesn’t settle the big arguments. Too many of the statistics thrown around reflect nothing but noise, confusion or damned lies”. It’s true that the arguments presented in this report make sense although they don’t say in general anyhing new, but it’s important, I think, to note that the problem itself isn’t in the data source, assuming that source is reliable like UK Statistics Authority, but in the data interpretation (or vision, say) which it could be sometimes too selfish, simplistic and biased. With this I mean the misuse of statistical values in the press because I guess data related to census or health statistics are reliable in terms of calculus and methodologies. In this sense Hethan Shah, Executive director, Royal Statistical Society commented about how we can improve the quality of public debate using statistics: “Three things would help. To ensure transparency, government should publish the evidence base for any new policy. To build trust, we should end pre-release access to official statistics, whereby ministers can see the numbers before the rest of us. And to build capability, politicians and other decision-makers in Whitehall should take a short course in statistics, which we’d be more than happy to provide”. Well, another interesting post related to this was written by Matt Parker: “The simple truth about statistics”.

Coming back to the issue, times have changed and many events have happened since 1973, but the persuasive power of numbers hasn’t changed and remains as an key element in any presentation, as well as, the use of visualisation in order to produce an immediate impact in the client, audience, etc. In this sense, I don’t know if in some newsrooms exists the slogan: “Don’t let a graph ruin great news (fake news, I mean)” although sometimes seems to be that this happens. Anyway, visualisation is mainly to convey information through graphical representations of data. You can use visualisation to record information, analyze data to support reasoning (e.g. visual exploration, find patterns and possible errors in data), and communicate information to others in order to share and persuade by means of a visual explanation. Harvard University offers a visualisation course, which unfortunately isn’t free but those lecture slices and videos are available for everyone at this moment.

Anyway, surely I’m talking nonsense and mixing things but my intention in this post was mostly to refer to some ideas, websites or books that are related to the proper or improper use of statistics and visualisation. Actually my goal was just to write a basic reflection about statistics and visualisation . Now I’d like to refer to some interesting things:

  • An hilarious website is “Spurious Correlation“. According to Business Dictionary: “a mathematical relationship between two variables that don’t result from any direct relationship, but is wrongly inferred to be related to each other. The false assumption of correlation may be attributed to coincidence or to another unseen factor”. Here you can find crazy and funny correlations, but it’s important to remember that “correlation doesn’t imply causation”.

p_stat1

  • WTF visualisation is another website to take into account in order to avoid repeating the same errors. They define their website as “visualisations that make no sense” but actually these are a lot of poorly conceived graphics. The focus is more related to infographics (i.e. graphic visual representations of information, data or knowledge) than graphs generated by R or Matplotlib; I mean it isn’t a simple graph such as a line, scatterplot or bar chart. Here, say, you have freedom to use colors and shapes; there is no limit to imagination and creativity and usually you condense much information in a small space, which can result the representation is unintelligible. Now, a key point is when the scales are modified giving an erroneous idea of magnitude. Also some 3D representations can produce the same effect because distort areas depending on point of view.

wtf_graph

  • To learn about visualisation and its design principles, there are many books but always it’s appropriate to revisit the classics: Edward Tufte, overall. He wrote: “Graphical excellence is the well-designed presentation of interesting data – a matter of substance, of statistics, and of design”. “Graphical excellence is that which gives to the viewer the greatest number of ideas in the shortest time with the least ink in the smallest space”. “Clutter and confusion are failures of design, not attributes of information”. “Cosmetic decoration, which frequently distorts the data, will never salvage an underlying lack of content”. Also are the books of Nigel Holmes and Alberto Cairo although I’m not very familiar with them. Information about E.Tufte and his work click here.
  • Visual Complexity Blog by Manuel Lima. He has a beautiful book call “Visual Complexity: Mapping Patterns of Information” which compiles a series amazing graphs.

To sum up, I’d say: “Use statistics accurately and visualisation in moderation”


Leave a comment

Dublin: Venture Capital Fundraising (by using Crunchbase)

Taking advantage of the Python and R scripts that I developed in a previous post, I wanted to learn about the state of the art of the companies in Dublin according to Crunchbase (APIv2). It’s true however that Crunchbase, and other similar websites, can give an incomplete vision about the companies in a specific city and on the other hand, this information, sometimes, is a bit biased, because they themselves manage, as it’s logical, what information want to show to potential investors and what not. In any case, it’s a good starting point to glimpse the technological potential of this city, where by the way, are many of the largest software companies worldwide. In this sense, I wanted to know some things related to “business ecosystem” of Dublin as the following ones: Which are the companies that have received more investments in the last years?, Who are the main investors?, Which is the order of magnitude of the investments?, Which are the most important business areas (“categories”) in the city?, etc.

An aspect to highlight in Crunchbase is that the companies indicate one or many categories (or fields) where their businesses are developed, so, there isn’t an unique “tag” that describes a company. However, some companies for example don’t choose the category “startup”, but in their descriptions they consider themselves as “startups”. On the other hand, doing a search for Dublin city, I gathered 1227 companies where only 186 included information about their investments, i.e. they mentioned investors and funding, although sometimes a “undisclosed amount” was considered as zero EUR. Furthermore, some companies like Mongodb-Inc, maybe must be considered as “outliers” or an unrepresentative company, because in this case, Mongodb’s Headquarter is in New York city, but its EMEA Headquarter is exactly in Dublin city. So, it’d be necessary to improve the search with filters more accurate to avoid this situation. Unfortunately, GPS coordinates are “missing in action” in the system and they must be generated directly using the addresses of the offices. I’ve a pending Python script via geopy to generate a new column with lat/long coordinates.

Anyway, the following figure shows a network graph with only 186 companies (“blue nodes”), 211 investors (“orange nodes”), and 534 links. Visually it may seem less links due to some investors are involved in several funding rounds with a same company, for example. Here ithere s a javascript chart.

dublin_graph1Perhaps, a Sankey diagram could be suitable to represent the connections between companies and investors because the width of the arrows is proportional to the investments which give us a clear idea about flow investment in Dublin. However, they are many companies and investors and the whole diagram is a bit confusing, so I only show a couple of companies/investors. By the way, this type of diagram is mainly used to visualize energy or material or cost transfers between processes. Here there is a javascript chart.

dublin_graph2Some Results:

a) Total Fundraised vs Year

graph3

b) Top 10 Companies

Company Total Fundraised
mongodb-inc EUR 214,922,988.84
green-apple-media EUR 122,760,000.00
mainstream-renewable-power EUR 120,000,000.00
gc-aesthetics EUR 83,700,000.00
intune-networks EUR 46,732,497.21
opsona EUR 40,277,993.28
sumup EUR 30,689,999.07
brandtone EUR 23,999,997.00
3v-transaction-services EUR 23,715,000.00

(*) Mongodb-Inc can be considered an “outlier”.

c) Top 10 Inversors

Investor Investment
marubeni-corporation EUR 100,000,000.00
robert-abus EUR 94,860,000.00
montreaux-equity-partners EUR 46,500,000.00
enterprise-ireland EUR 40,920,020.65
delta-partners EUR 35,554,481.07
sequoia-capital EUR 33,479,998.14
fountain-healthcare-partners EUR 33,271,332.38
robert-abus-2 EUR 27,900,000.00
intel-capital EUR 26,615,047.83

d) Main Categories

dublin_graph4  e) Degree and PageRank

By using Igraph for R, it’s possible to see the different connected components in the whole graph. This is an example:

dublin_graph5

 
Compamy Investor Type Investment Currency Year
sumup life-sreda venture 4030000 EUR 2014
sumup bbva-ventures venture 4030000 EUR 2014
sumup groupon venture 4030000 EUR 2014
sumup ta-venture undisclosed 0 EUR 2012
sumup bbva-ventures venture 0 EUR 2013
sumup groupon venture 0 EUR 2013
sumup klaus-hommels venture 4650000 EUR 2012
sumup tengelmann-ventures venture 4650000 EUR 2012
sumup shortcut-ventures-gmbh venture 4650000 EUR 2012
sumup brainstoventures venture 4650000 EUR 2012

Two charts that relate Funding with metrics like degree and pagerank.

degree_r

pagerank_r


Leave a comment

Next Stop Dublin: Public Libraries, Supermarkets and Voronoi Diagrams

I’ve been living in Dublin for only a couple of weeks and I’d like to write a post related to the city. In these few weeks I’ve visited some places that have surprised me pleasantly, as for example: The Trinity College Library with its “Book of Kells“, the huge Phoenix Park with its deers, and the Science Gallery and its interesting temporal exhibitions. In the surroundings of the city I visited the Celtic Boyne Valley (Trim castle included or “Braveheart” castle) and had the opportunity, for first time, to face the “Irish Bog” in the Seahan mountain near to Tallaght. So, I’d like to say simply I’m delighted with the city and its people. Moreover, it’s a very active city in IT issues with several meetups that worthwhile to consider such as: DublinR, Python Ireland, Hadoop User Group Ireland, DublinKind, and Big Data developers Dublin. A special mention is for Chapters Bookstore, a great find. collageDub Dublin Data As a newcomer to the city, I wanted to know where are located some key sites such as supermarkets or public libraries and therefore I got ready to build a map of locations with its respective Voronoi diagram in order to visualize the area of coverage or influence of each point. According to Wolfram MathWorld, a Voronoi diagram is “a partitioning of a plane with points into convex polygons such that each polygon contains exactly one generating point and every point in a given polygon is closer to its generating point than to any other. A Voronoi diagram is sometimes also known as a Dirichlet tessellation. The cells are called Dirichlet regions, Thiessen polytopes, or Voronoi polygons”. In order to find GPS coordinates in the case of the supermarkets I used a Python script to connect Yelp APIv2. I don’t know which is the problem with Yelp API, but I only could gather 1000 of 1153 points that Yelp search browser indicates and which 442 supermarkets are really in the Dublin city area. In the case of the public libraries I used “geopy” package, which geo-locates a query to an address and coordinates. In both cases, I must say there are some differences in the real position of some places, but as proof of concept, for me it’s OK. As Dublin City area I considered the five areas described in the city website:

  1. Central Area: This includes Broadstone, North Wall, East Wall, Drumcondra, Ballybough and the north city centre.
  2. North Central Area: This includes Kilbarrack, Raheny, Donaghmede, Coolock, Clontarf and Fairview.
  3. North West Area: This includes Cabra, Ashtown, Finglas, Ballymun, Santry, Whitehall, Glasnevin, the Phoenix Park and parts of Phibsborough.
  4. South Central Area: This includes Ballyfermot, Inchicore, Crumlin, Drimnagh, Walkinstown, The Liberties and the south west inner city.
  5. South East Area: This includes Rathmines, Rathgar, Terenure, Ringsend, Irishtown, Pearse Street and the south east inner city.

Additionally and as proof of concept again, by means of Dublinked (Open Data) and AIRO, I got two datasets with information about Primary and Post-Primary schools in Dublin city (census 2013-2014). My idea was for example to know how many students are studying in a particular area of the city or how many students are assigned, say, to a specific library (Voronoi polygon). In the case of Post-Primary schools dataset, school coordinates are in UTM coordinates, so it’s necessary to apply a transformation to GPS Coordinates (e.g. CRS(“+init=epsg:29902″) to CRS(“+init=epsg:4326″)). The datasets contain information (2013-2014) about school ethos or separation by gender but I was only interested in total values. In this Github, you can find kml and csv files. Some example:

library(deldir)
library(ggplot2)
library(ggmap)
library(sp)
library(rgdal)
library(maptools)

#Load data with GPS coordinates for Public Libraries in Dublin City 
df <- read.csv("t_lib.csv",header = TRUE, sep = ",",stringsAsFactors=FALSE)

# Voronoi data
vor <- deldir(df$long, df$lat)

# Creating Voronoi polygons
w = tile.list(vor)
polys = vector(mode='list', length=length(w))
for (i in seq(along=polys)) {
 pcrds = cbind(w[[i]]$x, w[[i]]$y)
 pcrds = rbind(pcrds, pcrds[1,])
 polys[[i]] = Polygons(list(Polygon(pcrds)), ID=as.character(i))
 }
SP = SpatialPolygons(polys)
voro = SpatialPolygonsDataFrame(SP, data=data.frame(x=df$long,y=df$lat, row.names=sapply(slot(SP, 'polygons'), function(x) slot(x, 'ID'))))

#Generating DataFrame with polygons
pvor1=data.frame()
for (i in seq_along(voro)){
pvor2=SP@polygons[[i]]@Polygons[[1]]@coords[,1:2]
pvor2=as.data.frame(pvor2)
pvor2$ID<-df$name[i]
pvor1<-rbind(pvor2,pvor1)
}

#Ploting: Points, Polygons and Segments
dub_map <- get_map(location = "Dublin", zoom = 11)
ggmap(dub_map) + geom_point(aes(x = long, y = lat), data = df, colour = "blue", size = 3)+
geom_polygon(aes(x=V1, y=V2,group=ID,fill=ID),data=pvor1, alpha=0.3)+
ggtitle("Voronoi Polygons for Public Libraries in Dublin City")+geom_segment(
 aes(x = x1, y = y1, xend = x2, yend = y2),
 size = 1,
 data = vor$dirsgs,
 linetype = 1,
 color= "#FFB958")

Voronoi_Dublin In this RPubs you can find the RMarkdown file. Other plots. PS: Donaghmede Library has zero students because this library is out of Dublin City area according to the boundary defined (North Central kml), so surrounding schools were filtered. plot1_1 plot1 plot2 plot3 plot_schools_dens Also it’s possible to generate kml files for points, polygons and segments and put into googlemap.

Comments:

I’d like to comment that “deldir” R package uses the Lee and Schachter’s algorithm for Delaunay Triangulation; however, it’d be interesting to apply an algorithm (e.g. modifying Fortune’s algorithm, etc) that allows generating, say, a weighted Voronoi diagram since in the reality each library has different resources and opening hours and so it’s possible to use other metrics, beyond Euclidean distance. In fact, an interesting next step would be to review “Power diagrams” which are a generalization of the Voronoi diagrams.

As last comment, I want to recommend the book “Longitude” written by Dava Sobel. I know it’s old (1995), but that is also one of the reasons why I wrote this post; it was a kind of inspiration. Well, in short, it’s a true story of a lone genius who solved the greatest scientific problem of his time: measuring the longitude in the sea. It’s a story with a clear scientific background where it’s possible to learn different concepts related to navigation and geography. Moreover, it’s a story of overcoming and how jealousy, egos and ignorance complicate the scientific progress.


Leave a comment

Discovering RHIPE with SDN-Mininet

Some days ago I attended a series of lectures organized by Telefonica Research (TID) where they explained several projects that have been developing in the last years in the field of Big Data. These projects or use cases mostly are related to the use of data gathered from their mobile phone communications, besides other sources such as credit card transactions and social networks (e.g. twitter and facebook). In general, the talks showed interesting information both at content and format level.  In addition, two key concepts, as it might be expected, were mentioned repeatedly during the explanation: “anonymity” and “aggregation”, conveying that personal data they collected are protected, in order to ensure the privacy of their users. Although I don’t want to doubt about this, we must recognize that this is a controversial issue both for Telcos and OTTs and whose discussion isn’t over; still a lot of water under the bridge must flow in order to clarify the suitable use of personal data. I mean It’s necessary the existence  of a strict legal framework that protects users worldwide, but that’s another topic for another post.

Well then, I understand and guess that in general the focus of these talks was simply to present compelling and novel visualizations, so audience can glimpse the power behind the data and the endless options that the use of Big Data technology can bring us in the future. Visualizations such as the movement of Russian tourists or cruise passengers through Barcelona, where they sleep, eat or buy luxury items, food, etc, (all geo-located) or also sentiment analysis by means of twitter of a determined event, etc. etc. Also to mention some research projects with social scope where TID is involved in several countries as could be the analysis of crowd movement after an earthquake or during a flood, i.e. migration events. On the other hand, they highlighted also something very important and revealing: analyze the behaviour of people by means of their movements through cellular radio system (and social networks) provides a more accurate and less biased notion of the users (potential clients) than an opinion survey. Anyway, it gets the feeling that Big Data is a world of possibilities and as Henry Ford said: “If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses”. See Smart Steps project by TID.

However, it’s logical to think all this is the tip of the iceberg of an emerging business that could be very lucrative: “sales data”…well in fact, it already is the case. This reminds me a news of October 2012 where Von McConnell, director of technology at Sprint said, in relation to if Telcos became nothing more than a dumb pipe, “we could make a living just out of analytics”, this is, Telcos can survive on Big Data alone. Besides, I remember last year at Telecom Big Data conference (Barcelona), Telcos were aware that they are “sitting” on a goldmine of data and already are working on mechanisms to get useful business information, at all level, with a main goal: data monetization. However, here I would like to mention briefly an aspect that can modify this scenario: there exists a war Telco vs OTT players for dominance over the data, but it’s another story which we must be alert. Anyway, currently some relevant topics in a telco are: marketing analytics, M2M solutions, voice analytics, operational management (network and devices), advertising models, recommendation systems (cross/ up selling) etc. This give us an idea about the topics that Telcos are currently working. By the way, I recommend to check Okapi project by TID (Tools for large-scale Machine Learning and Graph Analytics).

Configuring RHIPE and SDN-Mininet

Well, actually this preamble was only a pretext to present a simple example where is possible to see an application of Big Data & analytics tools (e.g. Map/Reduce Hadoop and R) over data gathered from a network. It’s true however, these are well-known issues that I already had mentioned in previous posts, but my intention this time (as well as to repeat my speech) is to place Big Data in a context purely of network. Typically when we talk about Big Data or analytics in a Telco, some common examples appear such as customer churn analysis or pattern analysis over a cellular radio system.  SDN (and NFV) in this sense, by decoupling control and data plane, offers a clear opportunity to manage network communications in a centralized way, with which now it’s possible to have server a farm (Data Center) that can process several network metric in real time using Big Data analytics, i.e. now can be possible to do an advanced network tomography: huge network matrix, delay matrix, loss matrix, link state, alarms, etc

Anyway… currently however, I don’t have access to real traffic data of a Telco, which would be ideal, but as proof of concept, a simple network created with Mininet is enough from my point of view. So, I programmed a tree-based topology with Python, with an external POX controller and a series of Open Flow switches and hosts. In this tree-based topology is possible to configure the fanout (number of ports) and some characteristics for the links such as bandwidth and delay. It’s very easy to add packet loss rate or CPU load, but this time I only used the first two features. Moreover, it isn’t very complicated to programme a fat-tree or jellyfish topologies or inclusive random networks, if you prefer to work with more complex networks.

On the other hand, I used wireshark tool to gather network data. In any case, I only want to capture ICMP packets in order to calculate simply the latencies between nodes and then construct a “Delay Matrix”. Actually this is very simple, but now all analysis will be done with RHIPE package, in order to apply a Map/Reduce & HDFS scheme. According to Tessera project: “RHIPE is a R-Hadoop Integrated Programming Environment. RHIPE allows an analyst to run Hadoop MapReduce jobs wholly from within R. RHIPE is used by datadr when the back end for datadr is Hadoop. You can also perform D&R (Divide and Recombine) operations directly through RHIPE MapReduce jobs, as MapReduce is sufficient for D&R, although in this case you are programming at a lower level than for datadr.” So, basically RHIPE is a R library that acts as “wrapper” which allows interact directly with Hadoop.

For Hadoop environment, I used Vagrant Virtual Machine by Tessera Project that includes CDH4 and RStudio.  My R Code is in Rpubs and csv file (traffic_wireshark.csv) is in Github.

Configuring Mininet  (see Github for test_tree.py)

# Loading wireshark
sudo wireshark &
# Filter ICMP (hiding Open Flow messages)
icmp && !(of) && ip.addr == 10.0.0.0/24
#Loading POX controller
~/pox$ ./pox.py forwarding.l2_learning
#Loading tree-based topology
sudo python test_tree.py
SDN Topology

SDN Topology

Screenshot wireshark

Screenshot wireshark

Map-Reduce Scheme

Map-Reduce Scheme

Delay Matrix

Delay Matrix


Leave a comment

Venture Capital Fundraising, Crunchbase, and Barcelona ecosystem

Inspired by two readings apart in time, I decided to write this post. The first one, just a couple of days ago, when browsing I found a talk from Etsy, an e-commerce website, for “Business of APIs Conference 2012”. There, they talked about the need to think an API (Application Programming Interface) as a product and not simply as an interface to allow connections to a data repository. They also explained that in the development of a new product many people are involved from different disciplines or areas within the company as designers, project managers, marketers, etc. In contrast, the development of an API is more limited or restricted to the IT department, with the risk of losing focus on its usability and functionality, i.e. a vision too technical, maybe. With this I don’t mean that it always happens, surely many things have changed to date, but it’s clear that technical and commercial insights sometimes go in opposite directions and today an API is a great opportunity to make business, connect with customers more easily, and also to enhance the visibility of the business.

The second reading is older and goes back a few months ago; March to be exact., when I read an interesting blog post from Beautiful Data site in which the authors analyzed the Big Data investment in technology in 2014 using data gathered from CrunchBase portal. Now, I remember I liked how they presented this issue and how used CrunchBase API (RESTful interface) in order to find relationships between companies and investors related to Big Data. Although the use of APIs wasn’t alien to me then, because I already had done some developments using APIs from Facebook and Flickr for sentiment analysis, but its approach, at least for me, it was very interesting and with a great potential for evaluating and analyzing investments into a startup ecosystem. So, I remember I checked out CrunchBase API documentation (version 1) and then I applied a series of Python scripts getting some results comparing for instance, startup ecosystems at Barcelona, London, and Paris. Although in this point, I must say that API version 1 wasn’t very robust, moreover some fields were somewhat ambiguous and the requests rather limited.

Back to the present and considering both “revelations”, I tried to dust off my old code in order to publish some results in my blog, but unfortunately CrunchBase API had migrated to version 2 and I was forced to rebuild the scripts completely. Well, finally after some hours fighting with Python, R and MongoDB reached my goal. I used MongoBD because CrunchBase limits its usage to 2,500 calls per day and 50 calls per minute and I needed to save the requests in order to reduce the traffic. Moreover, MongoDB is a robust Non-SQL DB, very easy to configure and works fairly good with JSON-like documents. As tip, there is a package called Python Crunchbase 1.0.2 that “in theory” works well with version 2 but personally I haven’t tried (uploaded 17/09/14). In any case, most of scripts that I used are in this IPython Notebook.

Some details

According to Wikipedia, CrunchBase is “a database of companies and startups, which comprises around 500,000 data points profiling companies, people, funds, fundings and events. The company claims to have more than 50,000 active contributors. Members of the public, subject to registration, can make submissions to the database; however, all changes are subject to review by a moderator before being accepted. Data are constantly reviewed by editors to ensure they are up to date. CrunchBase says it has 2 million users accessing its database each month”.

Now, it’s important to remember that each CrunchBase member fills the information that wants or considers appropriate, so it isn’t unusual to find companies with a bit of relevant information. On the other hand, now version 2 includes IDs (uuids) for all objects, which it’s a new advantage compared with version 1, however, still there are some details to debug. Also, when you write a script must be careful to include exceptions handling because requests are very sensitive when a field is empty or doesn’t exist, maybe because it wasn’t filled properly or was removed intentionally for the system, etc. Also, depending on your app, perhaps you want to search companies for a specific city and in this case a first answer for this query could be too broad, i.e. it could include companies from other cities. For example, if the query is for Barcelona (uuid), between the companies gathered appears Veeva whose global headquarters is in USA but has an office in Barcelona that is its European headquarters. In this case it would be necessary to apply some filter to avoid confusions specially when you want to analyze strictly startups in a city. Even so, all this depends on how a company is defined itself…I mean its category.

In Barcelona for instance, if you sort by location (Barcelona, uuid: eead2c0cb178ad334e6d6c813c955e99) and category (“Startups”, uuid: 568e63721763cf41d3f05a985edc3220) just get 15 startups, when in reality there are many more on the list that could be considered startups currently. Anyway, data quality will depend on what a company wants to show: funding round, fundraise, if the funding is undisclosed, private equity, etc. and it’s for this reason that data gathered should be considered only as something illustrative.

Some results for Barcelona Ecosystem

A) The following figure shows a VC fundraising graph where is possible to see the relationships between companies (690 orange circles, 145 connected) and investors (188 blue circles). In this case, the representation is an undirected and unweighted graph where some links could be parallel links between two nodes, i.e. a multigraph but visually we see only one link, this is, because there are investors that participate in different funding rounds with the same company.

For an interactive visualization click here.

For interactive visualization click here

Also, as an remarkable detail, there are 42 connected components, i.e. 42 subgraphs, where in each one of them, any two nodes are connected to each other by paths but not with others nodes in the “supergraph”. This last point is key because there exists a big component comprised by 220 nodes, 98 companies and 122 investors forming a significant investment group for the city. Depending on which information you want to get, it’s possible to define this scheme as a weighted directed graph (see IPython notebook), for instance to apply pagerank algorithm or in/out degree centrality algorithm.

B) Total Fundraised vs Year

For interactive visualization click here.

For interactive visualization click here.

C) Top 10 Companies

Company Total Fundraised
privalia EUR 395,668,000.00
desigual EUR 285,000,000.00
scytl EUR 89,427,998.42
strands EUR 43,450,000.00
groupalia EUR 35,899,996.00
social-point EUR 34,845,998.42
arcplan-information-services-ag EUR 26,907,400.00
ntr-global EUR 26,860,000.00
gigle-semiconductor EUR 24,489,998.42

D) Top 10 Investors

investor money
eurazeo EUR 285,000,000.00
cabiedes-partners EUR 203,989,256.00
index-ventures EUR 66,547,928.00
general-atlantic EUR 66,547,928.00
vulcan-capital EUR 31,600,000.00
insight-venture-partners EUR 29,022,928.00
sofina EUR 25,000,000.00
highland-capital-partners EUR 24,371,500.00
nauta-capital EUR 23,557,527.14

E) Total Fundraised vs Pagerank

By Networkx, “PageRank computes a ranking of the nodes in the graph G based on the structure of the incoming links. It was originally designed as an algorithm to rank web pages”.

For interactive visualization click here.

For interactive visualization click here.

F) Total Funraised vs Degree Centrality (in-degree)

by Networkx, “the in-degree centrality for a node v is the fraction of nodes its incoming edges are connected to. The degree centrality values are normalized by dividing by the maximum possible degree in a simple graph n-1 where n is the number of nodes in G.”

For interactive visualization click here.

For interactive visualization click here.

G) Percentage Category

For interactive visualization click here.

For interactive visualization click here.

The increase in the value for both Pagerank and Degree Centrality indicate also an increase in the position within of the fundraising ecosystem, i.e. conditions more favourable to get funds. So, it isn’t necessary to reinvent the wheel to know that having a greater and better connection to big investors gives advantages to a company when it seeks more funding. As Arthur Conan Doyle wrote in The Great Keinplatz Experiment: “Knowledge begets knowledge, as money bears interest” and this makes even more sense when we think for instance in a startup that is well connected in the network and possibly can have access to better mentors, new opportunities of fundings, etc.,although also it’s true this isn’t guarantee of success because many other factors must be considered surely. On the other hand, from investor point of view, the position in the network of a startup could be a decision parameter to invest, maybe.

Anyway, with this post my intention was to dust off my code and also to share some thoughts about APIs…better APIs attract more developers and therefore it’s possible to develop better products and new businesses…visualizations, data analysis and so on. As tip, this website gathers links to 531 reference APIs. Finally given the data, many other conclusions can be said, such as fashion is the industry that has received more investments (total fundraised) followed by the e-commerce or that 2014 is being the year with biggest investment, etc etc.  but as I mentioned before, these data should be compared with other sources in order to validate certain trends. My example of Barcelona maybe wasn’t very representative, because in Spain, I think CrunchBase doesn’t have a critical mass, yet, but it’s a matter of changing city and making other analysis. Also, there are many other investor matchmaking websites. For example, Angellist is a case that could be interesting to analyze. Furthermore, there are companies like SiSense that develop analytics dashboard software with this type of data, or websites like Startup Genome, Foundum, etc.

In my github repository are the csv files, so anyone can try VC Fundraising graph with R.

library(RCurl)
library(d3Network)
library(igraph)
library(rCharts)

d1 <- read.csv("barcelona_link.csv",header = TRUE, sep = ",",stringsAsFactors=FALSE)
d2 <- read.csv("barcelona_role.csv",header = TRUE, sep = ",",stringsAsFactors=FALSE)
d1<-unique(d1)
d2<-unique(d2)
links<-data.frame(d1$company, d1$investor)
colnames(links)<-c('source','target')
nodes<-unique(data.frame(d2$name))
colnames(nodes)<-c('name')
m=match(links$source, nodes$name)
g <- graph.data.frame(links, directed=TRUE,nodes)
dat1<-(data.frame(get.edgelist(g, names=FALSE))-1)
links$source<-dat1$X1
links$target<-dat1$X2
nodes['group']<-1
nodes$group[m]<-2
d3ForceNetwork(Links = links, Nodes = nodes, Source = "source", Target = "target", NodeID = "name",Group = "group",width = 550, height = 400, opacity = 2, linkColour = "#000000", zoom = TRUE,file = "b_new.html")


1 Comment

Remembering “The Way of St. James” ( and The_Way R Shiny App)

People say there is a before and after of “The Way”. I can’t make sure it’s true (for everybody), but I know that the way has something that catches the pilgrim. Although one exact month has already passed since my wonderful and exciting trip through a part of way of St. James from Leon (French way), I still keep thinking about it. For me, it was an extraordinary and vital experience; two weeks where I met many people from different countries, all united by a common goal: to reach Santiago. I shared many experiences, joys and sorrows, wishes and hopes, some philosophical conversations and others more mundane, but mostly I met wonderful and endearing friends that until today, fortunately, I keep being in touch thanks to the email and whatsapp.

When I started the way, of course, had many doubts and fears of what I would find there. A week before, I remember I read a quote, which initially didn’t pay much attention but during the path, I realized that it had all the sense: “The way is never long if beside you goes a good friend”. This phrase I think encompasses the sense of the way, something like the hymn of Liverpool “You’ll never walk alone” haha Actually, I practice regularly trekking but for some reason, for several months I was not able to do it and my feet were the first to notice it: the fearsome blisters (which came to be raw, oops)…..simply I’m a rookie. Here I also must say that only thanks to encouragment words from kind travel-mates I was able to finish the journey and reach my initial goal.

p1_tw

Well, my intention, however, isn’t to mystify the way because each person will give the sense that he or she wants, but I must recognize that “The Way” isn’t an ordinary path, has “an aura” that makes it special. I mean, unlike other routes I’ve done, here there is a great willingness for talking and sharing and the only keyword to start a conversation is a simple phrase: Buen Camino!!!!. Moreover, in an astonishing way, language barriers disappear because you have all the time, people can practice the patience and the tolerance, and finally somehow people understand each other; I myself was witness to idiomatic miracles like this. On the other hand, wonderful landscapes and monuments make this a worthwhile adventure and an unforgettable experience despite the effort made. Hopefully, next year I wish to go back…maybe by the Northern way or French way but now from Saint Jean; only time will tell. Finally from here, I’d like to send greetings to all my friends at the way: Italian team and friends from Seville, Navarra, Galicia, Canary Islands, France, Poland, etc. etc. Meanwhile, I’m practicing from now the hymn: “Tous les matins nous prenons le chemin, tous les matins nous allons plus loin……… Ultreia, ultreia et suseia.”.

p6_land

The_ Way R Shinny App

Coming back to the reality (or at least I’m trying), these last days I was considering to make a simple web app using R Shiny which is made up of three parts: Map, Altitude, and Distance. Map section shows the paths and some markers by using leaflet library and kml files. I should have liked to use mapbox.js library in order to control layers in the map, but I had problems in the integration with R Shiny. In the Altitude section, I used morris.js (rCharts package) and rgbif package based on Google Elevation API to calculate elevation from gps coordinates. Finally, Distance section shows a distance table for a specific site. Github link.

the_way_shiny

ui.R

library(shiny)
library(rCharts)
shinyUI(fluidPage(
    titlePanel("St. James's Way (The French Way)"),
    sidebarLayout(
    sidebarPanel(
    selectInput("var1", label = "Choose a Stage:",choices = s$id,selected = "stage1"),
    selectInput("var2",label = "Choose a Site:", choices = cam$Site, selected = "Saint Jean Pied de Port"),
        br(),
        br(),
        br(),
        br(),
        img(src = "camino.png", height = 72, width = 72),
        span("by Andre", style = "color:blue")
        ),
    mainPanel(
    tabsetPanel(
    tabPanel("Map", tags$style('.leaflet {height: 400px;}'),
    showOutput('mapPlot','leaflet')),
    tabPanel("Altitude", textOutput("text1"),showOutput("plot1", lib = "morris")),
    tabPanel("Distance",textOutput("text2"),tableOutput ("tab2"),tableOutput ("tab1"))
  )))))

server.R

library(shiny)
library(rCharts)
library(rMaps)
shinyServer(function(input, output,session) {
    dinput <- reactive({switch(input$var1,,"stage1"= s1,"stage2"= s2,"stage3"= s3,"stage4"= s4,
    "stage5"= s5,"stage6"= s6,"stage7"=s7,"stage8"= s8,"stage9"= s9,"stage10"= s10,"stage11"= s11,
    "stage12"= s12,"stage13"= s13,"stage14"= s14,"stage15"= s15,"stage16"= s16,"stage17"= s17,
    "stage18a"= s18a,"stage18b"= s18b,"stage19"= s19,"stage20"=s20,"stage21"= s21,"stage22a"= s22a,
    "stage22b"= s22b,"stage23a"= s23a,"stage23b"= s23b,"stage24"= s24,"stage25"= s25,"stage26"= s26,
    "stage27a"= s27a,"stage27b"= s27b,"stage28a"= s28a,"stage28b"= s28b,"stage29"= s29,"stage30"= s30,
    "stage31"= s31,"stage32"= s32,"stage33"= s33)})
    output$text1 <- renderText({s$name[s$id == input$var1]})
    output$text2 <- renderText({input$var2})
    output$plot1 <- renderChart({
        di<-dinput()
        m2<-mPlot(x='index',y='alt', type = "Line", data = di)
        m2$set(pointSize = 0, lineWidth = 1)
        m2$set(hoverCallback = "#! function(index, options, content){
        var row = options.data[index]
        return '<b>' + 'Altitude' + '</b>' + '<br/>' +
        'alt: ' + row.alt + '<br/>'
        } !#")
        m2$set(dom='plot1')
        return(m2)
    })
    output$mapPlot <- renderUI({
        map1 = Leaflet$new()
        map1$tileLayer("http://{s}.tile.openstreetmap.org/{z}/{x}/{y}.png")
        map1$addKML('leaflet/paths.kml')
        for (i in (1:dim(ps)[1])) {
        map1$marker(c(ps[i,3], ps[i,2]), bindPopup = ps[i,1])
        }
        HTML(map1$html(chartId = "mapPlot"))
    })
     output$tab1 <- renderTable({
        df1=subset(cam, index >= cam$index[cam$Site == input$var2])[,1:2]
        df1[1,2]<-0
        colnames(df1)<-c('Name','Distance (Km)')
        return(df1)
    })
     output$tab2 <- renderTable({
        g=cam$Total[cam$Site == input$var2]
        df2<-data.frame('from'= g, 'to'= (sum(cam$Partial)-g))
        colnames(df2)<-c('Distance from Saint Jean (Km)','Distance to Santiago (Km)')
    return(df2)
    })
  })

PS. I have pending to write about Origami, another of my hobbies, but still cannot set a idea. I continue reading “Origami Design Secrets: Mathematical Methods for an Ancient Art” by Robert J. Lang. Now, I have a sketch but need to spend more time in Treemaker and Oripa. BTW, here is the Origami Kit for “The Way”: a shell (vieira) and an arrow.

Pilgrim_Origami


Leave a comment

Exploring the BigBangData exhibition in Barcelona

Since its opening in May of this year, I had wanted to attend BigBangData exhibition at Barcelona, but for diverse reasons hadn’t found the time to do it; a curious thing, thinking I live very close to CCCB where the event is held. Anyway, last Sunday I visited the exhibition and in general lines was glad with the format and content presented. I must recognize, however, I had some doubts about the event, in the sense of how organizers would be able to present a complete and comprehensive picture about everything related to the world of Big Data, but in synthesized way and accessible to every public. Now, I can say it’s a very well done exhibition that combines several elements that help the understanding the increase of the volume of data that we are currently experiencing, showing for example, a plenty of interactive apps, description of relevant projects, typical and novel visualisations, use cases, videos with interviews with experts, and many reflexions about the power of data in diverse areas of society. So I highly recommend to visit this exhibition that will be open in Barcelona until October 26th. Madrid will be its next stop from February 25th, 2015.

Today, data blast is an unstoppable phenomenon with unexpected consequences. In this sense, the exhibition starts with the proliferation of data centers worldwide and the rise of the bandwidth in the global communications. In this point, it’s interesting to observe the submarine cable map with the fiber optic intercontinental connexions. All this it’s motivated by a recurrent concept (a buzzword, maybe) throughout the exhibition: “datification”, i.e., the use of data as the element key that will move the business in the future as a new form of value, thinking in a simple analogy with our dependence on oil today. On the other hand, other fundamental concepts are added to the speech to make sense of all this thanks to for instance the increase of the data storage capacity, processing power, and the use of new data analysis techniques. Concepts such as: correlation, prediction, pattern, metadata, data mining, aggregation, geolocation, and algorithms are already very present in our lives. In this part of the exhibition, an obvious but fundamental idea in data analysis arises: “Don’t let you can’t see the wood for the trees”, this is, having a lot of data doesn’t mean having useful information and also it’s too easy to get lost in a tangle of data, so it’s necessary to have methodologies and contrasted analysis process that we allow us to find the gold nugget among many rocks. Moreover, it’s precise to take distance in order to see the things correctly, so we can see the real dimension of a problem.

As couldn’t be otherwise, an introduction to data visualisation has to start with two emblematic examples to allow us to appreciate the power of the graphical representation of a problem in order to find patterns that help to solve it. The first historical example presented in the exhibition is the cholera map by John Snow (1854) which changed definitely how we see a outbreak and the second one is the flow map by Charles Joseph Minard (1869) that shows the path of Napoleon’s troops across the Russian empire of Alexander I. The latter sometimes is considered as the first example in data visualisation. Also other example mentioned is the Königsberg Bridge Problem by Euler (1736), which is considered as the starting point for the graph theory and network analysis. Moreover, a book that has an important place in the exhibition is the “Visual Complexity: Mapping patterns of information” (2013) by Manuel Lima (website) that gathers many of the best known visualisations.

bigbangdata

Furthermore, many other interesting data visualisations and interactive apps are presented. Some examples are: Flight Patterns (2006, by Aaron Koblin), Barcelona cruise passenger behaviour (2012, by Telefónica), Russian tourism in Catalonia (2012, by Telefónica), and Barcelona commercial footprints (2013, by BBVA). There is also a visitor data analytic system (by Counterest) based on a camera and a facial recognition algorithm, which allows to get, among other things, the number of visitors in a site, their gender, and their average visit time. With this example, I would like to comment something about the use of this technology. Although the approach presented by Counterest is to monitor for example, a store or a supermarket in order to get the customer profile and so to improve its product offering, etc also it’s truth that the use of personal images is against the privacy and anonymity of the consumer. In this sense, I remember a news of 2012 where a mobile app called SceneTap (website / news) caused some controversy because, say, a similar system was used in a bar to determine the gender and approximate age of its customers and then all information could also be available through social networks. It’s easy to imagine various ways in which this information can be used positively or negatively. However, the use of this kind of algorithms (and similar technologies) isn’t new. In fact, different universities worldwide for years are working on pattern recognition mechanisms, but now with all available resources (processing, communications, storage, etc.), it’s already possible to apply them massively and so a new scenario is open and the rules of the game are still fuzzy. Maybe it’s the moment to apply some type of regulation, although I understand it’s a complicated topic because restrictions generally could stop the innovation and often ethical aspects are at disadvantage in comparison with business.

Other group of apps are related to the sentiment analysis, i.e. identification and extraction of subjective information from different sources (e.g. Twitter, Facebook, etc.) by using techniques such as NPL, text analysis, semantic analysis, etc. Here an interesting app is “We feel fine”, a project that explores human emotions on a global scale. Moreover, other project that caught my attention was “Prime Numeric: Live Remix of the UK Leaders Debate” (2010) by SoSo Limited where they apply LIWC (Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count) text analysis libraries to track things like emotion or keyword used by candidates in a debate and then to try to assess the accuracy or vagueness in their expressions and finally to indicate the degree of credibility of each candidate. Now, I wonder how it would work with our politicians in Spain?. Better, don’t answer.

Other topic in the exhibition was how data can be used to improve the democracy in terms of transparency, the promotion of open data politics, and data as a social asset. Civio Foundation is present with some projects that help to understand the responsibility to inform correctly and transparently to the citizen topics of public interest; so its slogan is very revealing: “Bye Obscurity, Hello Democracy”. Some of their projects are: The Pardonometer (Indultometro in Spanish) and Where do my taxes go?. Also I would like to mention a project called Afghanistan: The War Logs by The Guardian where shows insurgent fatalities and cleared devices (IED Attacks) in this troubled region. In general there exists a clear emphasis on the use of data as a key element to inform more rigorously and there is a special nod to data journalism that is very trendy today.

Finally, it isn’t my intention to enumerate all applications or visualisations in the exhibition, I only wanted to present an overall vision about the event and of course recommend it. Now, as final point, there is an issue at the end of the route that I would like to highlight which is “the tyranny of data-centrism” or to put data culture in the center of decision-making. A poster says that there are many possibilities associated to the analysis of massive datasets, but also there are risks and a latent danger of thinking that always the answer to the problems lies in data and “values as subjectivity and ambiguity are especially important at the time when it’s easy to believe that all solutions are computable”. By the way, as curiosity there is a installation called “24 HRs in photos” by Erik Kessels formed by mound of printed photographs that correspond to the images uploaded to Flickr over a 24-hour period…. really a dump of photos which also is an invitation to reflection on the use of our personal photos.

Videos:

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.